Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000102 0.000113 0.000126 0.000141 0.000157 0.000175 0.000196
2024-10-27 0.000085 0.000101 0.000119 0.000142 0.000168 0.000199 0.000236
2024-11-03 0.000071 0.000090 0.000112 0.000140 0.000175 0.000217 0.000273
2024-11-10 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000142 0.000186 0.000243 0.000320
2024-11-17 0.000055 0.000076 0.000103 0.000141 0.000193 0.000262 0.000361
2024-11-24 0.000049 0.000070 0.000099 0.000141 0.000201 0.000284 0.000407
2024-12-01 0.000044 0.000065 0.000095 0.000140 0.000206 0.000301 0.000447
2024-12-08 0.000039 0.000060 0.000091 0.000139 0.000212 0.000319 0.000491
2024-12-15 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000138 0.000218 0.000339 0.000538
2024-12-22 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000139 0.000225 0.000360 0.000588
2024-12-29 0.000030 0.000051 0.000083 0.000139 0.000232 0.000381 0.000640
2025-01-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000137 0.000235 0.000397 0.000686
2025-01-12 0.000025 0.000045 0.000078 0.000138 0.000243 0.000422 0.000748
2025-01-19 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000139 0.000252 0.000448 0.000816
2025-01-26 0.000022 0.000041 0.000074 0.000137 0.000255 0.000465 0.000870
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000140 0.000266 0.000497 0.000954
2025-02-09 0.000019 0.000037 0.000071 0.000139 0.000271 0.000517 0.001017
2025-02-16 0.000018 0.000036 0.000070 0.000139 0.000278 0.000543 0.001094
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000034 0.000067 0.000138 0.000281 0.000561 0.001157
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000032 0.000065 0.000137 0.000285 0.000582 0.001225
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000031 0.000064 0.000136 0.000290 0.000605 0.001303
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000136 0.000297 0.000631 0.001388
2025-03-23 0.000013 0.000028 0.000062 0.000137 0.000303 0.000658 0.001476